Injury Risk/Stability: 7/9

Top 50 Rank: #12

Billy Wagner is back. For years he was one of the best closers in the league and in 2010 he will close for the Atlanta Braves. After Tommy John surgery, Wagner came back earlier than expected for the Mets and felt great. He was then dealt to the Red Sox where he racked up 22 strikeouts in 13.2 innings. He showed that his command and strength were back along with his trademark velocity. His injury issues will be a concern for most managers, and add to that the fact; pitchers tend to come back stronger from Tommy John surgery for the first year, then decline. That makes Billy Wagner a risk, and a sneaky sleeper closer that will give you 40 saves. What makes a great closer is heart, and just like Rod Tidwell, Wagner is all heart.

The True Guru Strategy: Currently Wagner's ADP is round 13. All season I've recommended drafting Wagner in the 12th round, and I stand by that.  He will be much more valuable then that and managers need to understand his value as a lefty closer and his K/9 rate. If he is there in round 12, don't hesitate to draft him.