Brian Wilson was one of the most underrated closers in 2009 and will be one of the more overrated in 2010. He had an outstanding 2009 season with 38 saves and an ERA under 2.75. With that being said, Wilson is a still a risk. He will regress in 2010 naturally, but it won't be by much. The Giants should be a better team both offensively and from their starters, so Wilson will have opportunities to close.  But with more work and now well-known,  he won't keep his ERA below 3.00 and he won't reach 38 saves again.


The True Guru Strategy: Wilson is a great value pick in the 11th round or later. Currently he is going around the 13th round. If you can get him in the 12-13th it's a great value. Wilson is a solid #2 closer for your staff, but again expect a regression from last season.